Founder Resource · Q2 2026 Update

Early-Stage Valuation Cap Guide & Fundraising Benchmarks

What valuation cap should you set? How much dilution should you expect? Where does your round fit? Benchmarks from Carta and AngelList, updated through May 2026.

Carta H2 2025 · 1,379 rounds AngelList May 2026 · Live SVB State of Markets H1 2026 US Startups · Post-money SAFEs + Priced Rounds
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How to use this guide
Start with the Overview tab to understand where each round fits in the fundraising journey. Then select your specific round type for detailed val cap benchmarks by amount raised and sector. Use this to benchmark your cap — not as a fixed target. Every deal is different.

Where the numbers come from: every benchmark here is real market data, not estimates — drawn from Carta and AngelList, the cap-table platforms thousands of US startups use to manage equity and run their funding rounds, so the figures reflect actual closed deals. Revenue (ARR) figures come from Silicon Valley Bank.
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Round stage vs. instrument — two different things
A funding stage — pre-seed, seed, Series A — describes how mature your company is and roughly how much you raise. An instrument — SAFE, convertible note, or priced equity — is the legal document used to take the money. They are independent: a seed-stage round can be raised on a SAFE (pre-priced, simple, no term sheet) or as a priced equity round (term sheet, lead investor, formal valuation). That is why this guide has both a “Seed on SAFEs” and a “Seed (Priced)” tab — same stage, different paperwork.
Want to dig deeper? Tier framework, Bessemer growth archetypes, and PitchBook AI premiums.

Where do you fit? Three tiers of the 2025 market.

Winner-take-all economics have split venture capital into three distinct categories, with growth rate as the key multiplier. Find your tier to know which benchmarks to use.

50th–75th percentile

Traditional SaaS

Well-built software companies following the proven SaaS playbook with predictable metrics.

Base multiples
  • 8× to 15× ARR
  • Growth-adjusted: up to 20× ARR max
Growth impact (per Bessemer)
  • 150%+ growth: +30% premium (capped)
  • 100–149% growth: +20% premium
  • <50% growth: −30% discount
Carta H2 2025 · PitchBook Q3 2025
90th–95th percentile

AI-Enhanced SaaS

Successfully integrated AI into existing SaaS models, capturing the “AI premium” but not true AI-native differentiation.

Base multiples
  • 15× to 30× ARR
  • Growth-adjusted: up to 48× ARR
Growth premiums (per Bessemer)
  • Shooting Star (200%+): +60% premium
  • Supernova (300%+): +100% premium
  • Below 100%: discount applies
PitchBook Q3 2025 · Bessemer State of AI 2025
99th percentile · step function

AI-Native Category Creators

Core AI products. Bessemer's Supernova (300%+ YoY) and Shooting Star (200%+ YoY) trajectories. Includes companies like Perplexity, Cursor, and Abridge.

Step function logic

Only companies hitting Bessemer's 200%+ growth bar get top 1% Carta + PitchBook multiples. Without extreme growth, AI-native companies drop to the AI-enhanced tier.

Multiples by growth tier
  • Supernova (300%+): 99th percentile, up to 120× ARR
  • Shooting Star (200%+): 98th percentile, up to 90× ARR
  • <200% growth: drops to 90th–95th percentile (AI-enhanced tier)
Growth requirement is absolute. No growth rate = no top tier access. Carta + PitchBook top 1% requires Supernova trajectory. Winner-take-all dynamics demand extreme scaling.
Bessemer State of AI 2025 · PitchBook Q3 2025
The multiples shown are top-end observations at each percentile, not medians. The 120× and 90× figures represent the 99th and 98th percentile multiples for companies hitting Bessemer's growth bars. Median AI-Native multiples are closer to 30–50× ARR. Use these for upper-bound modeling, not central-case projections.

Bessemer growth benchmarks: what “great” looks like in 2025

Bessemer studied 20 high-growth AI startups including Perplexity, Cursor, and Abridge to define two archetypes for the AI era. These benchmarks replace the SaaS-era “T2D3” framework with “Q2T3.”

Supernovas

Explosively scaling AI startups with unprecedented growth and adoption.

MetricYear 1Year 2
Annual Recurring Revenue~$40M~$125M
Gross Margin~25% (often negative)~25%
ARR per FTE$1.13M4–5× typical SaaS

The high revenue often comes with fragile retention and thin margins. “Thin wrapper” labels could be thrown. Margins stretched to zero or negative as startups fight for winner-take-all prizes.

Examples studied by Bessemer: Perplexity, Cursor, Abridge.

Shooting Stars

Fast-growing, capital-efficient AI startups with strong PMF, solid margins, and loyal customers — scaling like stellar SaaS.

MetricY1Y2Y3Y4
ARR~$3M~$12M~$40M~$103M
Gross Margin~60% across the trajectory
ARR per FTE~$164K

The Q2T3 pattern (quadruple, quadruple, triple, triple, triple) replaces SaaS-era T2D3. These businesses look more like stellar SaaS companies, with strong gross margins and durable retention.

“While we love Supernovas, we believe this era will be defined not by a few outliers, but by hundreds of Shooting Stars.”
— Bessemer Venture Partners
Bottom line for founders: if your trajectory doesn't match one of these two patterns, you'll be benchmarked against Traditional SaaS multiples. The AI premium is real but earned, not assumed.

PitchBook Q3 2025: AI vs Non-AI premiums

The market is rewarding AI with concrete valuation premiums at every stage. Here's the data.

AI Valuation Premium56% higher at Series C · 230% higher at Series D+
AI Step-Up PremiumSeries B step-up at 2.1× for AI vs 1.4× for non-AI
Market Reality15.9% down rounds (decade high). Q2 IPOs averaged −30% from peak private valuations.
Capital ConcentrationAI captures 65% of total funding with only 35% of deal count
What this means: capital is concentrating sharply. AI-native and AI-enhanced companies are absorbing the majority of venture dollars even though they represent a minority of deals. For non-AI founders, the valuation bar is higher than it appears at face value, and the burden of proof shifts to growth and capital efficiency. For AI-native founders, the premium is real but conditional on hitting Bessemer's growth bars.

For informational purposes only · Not legal or financial advice · Data: Carta, AngelList, Silicon Valley Bank, Bessemer Venture Partners, PitchBook public reports · Compiled by BVJ Consulting · Updated Q2 2026